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Transition from Cold War II to World War III
An Update on North Korea, Taiwan, Ukraine, Iran, and the BRICS’ New Economic Order
We are currently witnessing a shift in the geopolitical global order, as China and Russia seek to overthrow the American Empire’s sole superpower status. As this occurs, Washington is not going to sit by and permit its rivals to destroy the petrodollar and monopoly on military power worldwide. As a dying empire, the United States will likely seek war as an alternative to a multipolar world, and because of this, we are marching ever closer toward global conflict. We may currently be transitioning from Cold War II to World War III, and this all-enlightened strategy puts the United States on a two-front war that will likely be unwinnable.
As is typically the case, North Korea does not feel comfortable with American-South Korean exercises near its border, especially when such drills include simulations of invading the country; and while this was occurring recently, Pyongyang announced that it has the capability to launch nuclear missiles from underwater drones. Two such missile demonstrations, dubbed as Haeil-1 and Haeil-2 drones, seemed to show that such weapons are capable of travelling for seventy-one hours and for 621 miles, and in the first three months of this year, there have been eleven missile launches involving thirty missiles. Although North Korea acting in this manner is not unprecedented by any means, when considered with the totality of other events and the challenge to American hegemony that is developing, it may be cause for concern.
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The Biden administration has confirmed that it will defend Taiwan militarily when the time comes, so the fact that government officials are so willing to sacrifice American lives on behalf of an island thousands of miles away (we have to keep the computer chips under our control) is telling of what is to come. The United States Navy has dispatched ships to the South China Sea for many years in the aggressive “freedom of navigation” operations, which are really just a show of force to intimidate Beijing (this is being sold to the public as defensive in nature, but I do not believe that Americans would find Chinese war ships patrolling the Gulf of Mexico or the Caribbean Sea as defensive).
The Philippines, which now has nine American bases (four new ones were just added), is set to join in on the fun of provoking China, and it will participate in the patrols in the South China Sea. Kamala Harris visited Ghana, Tanzania, and Zambia to try to convince resource-rich Africa that it should join the United States and not continue toward China, which is making business deals and alliances with many countries on the continent; and this seems to be a desperate plea to shore up allies for the upcoming world war.
China is now ready to engage in direct conflict with the United States if the Biden administration does not halt its aggressive actions. Just like the United States has been preparing for a hot war with China (including with a number of exercises), it is expected that China would launch attacks against American cities if the United States defended Taiwan. Of course, the Biden administration (not unlike that under George W. Bush) could not care less about how this would affect American civilians, and if people die and our cities get destroyed, it would be worth the cost to the war hawks in Washington (maybe they could find less destructive means to blow off their aggressive steam).
The United States military just deployed one hundred or more additional troops to Taiwan to prepare for the invasion and train the island’s troops. In response to a meeting between House Speaker Kevin McCarthy and Taiwanese President Tsai Ing-wen, China launched military exercises and sent approximately seventy-one warplanes and eight ships near the island (in Taiwan’s air defense identification zone, or ADIZ) as a show of force and to protest American imperialistic policy.
After years of being threatened by the United States, China and Russia are becoming closer allies than ever before, and this was quite evident during a recent meeting in Moscow. In fact, one of the largest parts to the agenda was talks of creating a multipolar world that threatens the decades-long hegemony of American military and economic power. This comes after State Secretary Antony Blinken warned China not to assist Russia with weapons transfers, and the war in Ukraine is really turning out to be an event that draws the two powers into a permanent alliance. Just like with Taiwan, Ukraine is an American dependency and an essential state under the American Empire.
The current administration has sent billions of dollars to the military-industrial complex to arm Ukraine and bolster the Zelensky regime, and this includes M142 High Mobility Artillery Rocket System (HIMARS) and M1A1 Abrams tanks (which are being taken from American stockpiles, thus harming our readiness). European countries have also joined in on the fray, and Germany has contributed Leopard 2 tanks and allowed allies to do the same, while Slovakia has sent MIG-29 fighter jets (Poland has transferred both Leopard 2s and MIG-29s). Even Serbia, which is thought of as an ally of China, supplied Ukraine with weapons.
During Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen’s visit to Kiev, she pledged additional economic sanctions against Russia and an endless flow of aid to Ukraine, including that which will assist Ukrainian schools and pensions in staying funded (why are we forced to pay for financial welfare for Ukrainians, but we will not use that money to make investments in American schools or pensions?). Propping up this war and extending it for months to come will only cause more Ukrainians to die, and instead of seeking diplomacy, the goal seems to be to keep the coffers of the defense contractors full and create new cold war tensions with Russia and rally Americans around the war effort.
As I have stated on multiple occasions, the Biden administration is doing everything it can to engage in war with Russia without appearing to the public that it wants such a war. In fact, United States Agency for International Development (USAID) Administrator Samantha Power (also the Ambassador to the United Nations under the Obama administration) admitted that the United States is sacrificing Ukrainians on the “front lines” in order to fight a war against Russia. Furthermore, German Foreign Minister Annalena Baerbock echoed the same sentiment when she stated that the North Atlantic Treaty Organization (NATO) was at war with Russia. Recent leaked documents suggest that even American special forces are operating in Ukraine (something I have thought for some time, but now we may have proof), meaning that the United States is engaging in direct conflict with Russia. Additionally, the United Kingdom, Netherlands, France, and Latvia have sent special forces troops to Ukraine.
Just like in a true cold war fashion, close-call incidents have occurred, such as the North American Aerospace Defense Command’s (NORAD) scrambling of jets to intercept eight Russian aircraft near Alaska and the Russian military’s destruction of an American drone, which was likely gathering intelligence on behalf of the Ukrainian government, over the Black Sea (South Carolina Senator Lindsey Graham wants to go into full war mode over this, and he advocates for shooting down Russian aircraft that threatens American assets in faraway lands that are of no concern to economically-struggling Americans). The White House and other officials are now worried that Russia’s arrest and charges of espionage against Wall Street Journal reporter Evan Gershkovich will lead to more “kidnappings” (though, of course, the United States government would be overjoyed attempting to capture Russian “spies,” and what do you think would happen if the Biden administration could get its hands on Julian Assange or Edward Snowden, both of which revealed inconvenient truths about the United States government?).
Then, we had Putin announce that he will soon station tactical nuclear weapons in Belarus, after he suspended the Measures for the Further Reduction and Limitation of Strategic Offensive Arms, or the new Strategic Arms Reduction Treaty (informally referred to as the New START). This comes after several threats of nuclear use have been made by Russian officials (including the most recent missile launch while President Biden was visiting Ireland); and with suspicion of Ukrainian attacks within sixty miles of Moscow, Russian shootdowns of Ukrainian drones in its border regions, Ukrainian drone strikes inside Russia and Belarus, and a terrorist bombing of Russian blogger Vladlen Tatarsky, Russia is now feeling the pressure of the war on its front steps. NATO expansion, one of the key reasons for Russia’s invasion of Ukraine, moved to consume Finland, so now Russia can feel even more threatened by having an additional country on its border becoming the host to exercises and American troop deployments. One small event (like an assassination of an archduke) by either Russia or the United States could spark the flames of World War III, so perhaps we should tread lightly.
The West has praised the International Criminal Court’s decision to issue a warrant for Vladimir Putin’s arrest for child trafficking; and although the move is purely political and cannot actually be enforced, being that the ICC has no law enforcement power and the United States and Russia are not a party to the organization, why are they targeting the Russian president for relocating orphaned children whose parents were killed on the battlefield? Does not the West complain that Russia has killed civilians and destroyed infrastructure, including when the Ukrainian government intentionally set up make-shift bases in civilian areas in order to gain sympathy from the rest of the world (sacrifice people to push a political agenda and get support)? Where is the warrant for those atrocities?
Oh, and for extra measure, Egyptian President Abdel Fatah El Sisi may be secretly supplying Russia with rockets for the conflict in Ukraine, and being that Egypt is a huge recipient of American financial welfare, this would be another example of how the United States government indirectly aids both sides of a conflict (good times). Even Japan has joined China and India in purchasing Russian oil, thus making the situation even more complicated and indicating that the war in Ukraine is not as unified of an effort as the corporate media has been making it seem.
The leaked documents from the Pentagon seem to suggest that Ukraine is not doing so well overall and that Russia is depleting Ukraine’s air defenses and other weapons and ammunition, and this is in stark contrast to what has been reported in the corporate media. The Biden administration is now forced to admit that the war may last for several more months, or even years, and it can no longer claim that Ukraine is winning on the battlefield (Ukrainian losses seem to be underestimated dramatically). The stalemate that is occurring will just add to the profits of the military-industrial complex, and this should cause us to question the intentions of officials who would force us to fund a war that may not even be won. The longer this goes on, the more chances there are for the conflict to erupt into a wider global war and for American weapons to end up in the hands of our enemies.
Not knowing where American weapons are going once they enter Ukraine has been a problem that needs more scrutiny, but it is now being reported that Russia is capturing and sending some of them to Iran. This would allow Iran to reverse engineer the technology, and particularly drones and anti-tank weapons, and increase the power of its military. In an indirect way, the United States may be aiding the Iranian military by sending weapons to Ukraine, and then in Syria, Iranian-backed groups are killing Americans. One such instance caused President Biden to retaliate by attacking facilities belonging to the groups associated with the Islamic Revolutionary Guards Corps., and he pledged to protect Americans in Syria. Why are we still in Syria? Is it because we need to safeguard the oil from the Assad government?
As tensions between the United States and Iran heat up over dominance in the region and the American Navy 5th Fleet deploys a nuclear-powered submarine armed with 154 Tomahawk missiles to the Hormuz Strait and Red Sea to intimidate the Persian nation, China is brokering deals between Saudi Arabia and Iran to end hostilities over Yemen and other issues. The United States was not asked to join in the agreement, showing a shift in power in the geopolitical realm. In fact, China and Saudi Arabia have been getting closer and making business deals, and if Saudi Arabia decides to exchange certain oil sales in the yuan (something that is being considered), this could threaten the dollar’s influence over the world. The petrodollar is dependent on Saudi Arabia’s cooperation.
Interestingly, French President Emmanuel Macron has called on Europe to leave its vassal-state status and become a new superpower on the world stage, avoiding being dragged into World War III by the United States. France does not want to engage in a deadly and costly war against China, and Europe becoming more independent could mean that the federation of states ditch the US dollar, along with several other countries that have or are doing so.
As the United States government attempts to continue its status quo of irresponsible inflation, quantitative easing, spending, and hegemony over the world, many nations now see an alternative emerging. To stave off a financial crisis, the Federal Reserve, along with the central banks of Canada, England, Japan, the European Union, and Switzerland, attempted to flood the global market with US dollars in swap line deals. However, country by country is abandoning the US dollar. In fact, Kenyan President William Ruto urged his citizens to rid themselves of assets backed by the dollar, as the country is looking to prop up its own currency. Malaysia will no longer be dependent on the dollar for international trade, and the country will be moving toward China’s lead. Many countries are trading the petrodollar for the petroyuan, and soon, China could possess the reserve currency of the world. As of September 2022, the US dollar’s holdings in global central banks were at about 60% (down from 72% in 2001), and the Chinese yuan was up to about 2.8%. The yuan still has a way to go, but at the rate that countries are declaring an end of use in US dollars, a major shift may soon occur.
We must also consider a new global economic system being orchestrated by China and Russia. Turkey, Saudi Arabia, Argentina, Indonesia, Egypt, Iran, and Mexico are looking to possibly join the Association of BRICS, which includes Brazil, Russia, India, China, and South Africa; and the alliance is considering the creation of a new global digital currency to challenge the supremacy of the US dollar. As it stands now, BRICS has a gross domestic product (based on purchasing power parities) larger than the International Group of Seven (the G7 consists of the United States, Canada, the United Kingdom, France, Germany, Italy, and Japan), so imagine the global economic system if a few more countries join the association.
As countries see an opportunity to dethrone the United States from its status on the world stage, we will see the abandonment of the dollar and a military and economic challenge to American hegemony. To be clear, a new global order that replaces the United States’ order with a totalitarian centralized digital currency of the BRICS alliance is not a good thing, but a competitive market where no one nation dominates could be beneficial to the populace of the world. Do we want a global order that is controlled by the American Empire to be replaced with the Chinese Empire? Of course not, but a multipolar world would likely lead to World War III, as American officials are not going to let imperialism fade away that easily. The Biden administration will challenge China and fight a war to struggle for the top spot on the geopolitical stage, regardless of how many Americans or citizens of other countries must be sacrificed. As the world moves from Cold War II into World War III, let us reflect on what would happen if the people of each participant country refused to fight in a pointless war that could cause destruction on a level never seen on this planet. Will Americans rally around the flag and join the Biden administration’s destructive practices, or will we stand up and demand that the conflict ends without more bloodshed?
Thank you for reading, and please check out my book, The Global Bully, and website.
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